Remember that there was pre-draft consternation around his age (he was well over 19), which draft models tend to penalize prospects for because of the historical success of younger players. In the past, Ortizs high-effort delivery and sub-optimal fastball shape put him on the starter/reliever line, but hes thrown plenty of strikes across multiple seasons while simultaneously developing more velocity and comfortably projects as a starting pitcher now. High-risk hitters with huge tools are also welcome since FV is a subjective way to factor both ceiling and risk into the same grade. He should be the Mets primary catcher as soon as most of the big league pitching staff feels confident and comfortable throwing to him. Updated: July 16, 2022. To a certain degree, there is an element of wisdom to that. Added to the 40-man roster in November, De La Cruz is on pace for regular big league playing time in 2024. Hell work six or more innings and never throw a fastball below 95 mph, sitting 96-98 for the bulk of the outing. Velocity, repertoire depth, and fastball control have Miller poised to be an impact, mid-rotation starter in the near future, while long-term secondary projection could eventually pull him into a different stratosphere. Neto had an incredible statistical 2021, a performance he reinforced by hitting on Cape Cod and then again by hitting (checks notes) .407/.514/.769 (!) Its bat-missing capabilities are limited to the bottom arm-side portion of the zone, where this two-seam-ish fastball tends to finish. His frame is maxed out, and Marte is not currently mobile enough to project as a big league shortstop defender. Hes added a hard slider/cutter to his amazing-looking curveball, but his fastball still doesnt miss bats and his report reads like Aaron Sanchezs did. Its not typical for a prospect who was just put on a 40-man roster to have this much perceived volatility or create this level of polarization. The Top 300 is here. Joendry Vargas, SS, Dominican RepublicAt 6-foot-3, the long and lean teen will face questions about his ability to stay at shortstop, but he already shows a quick first step, good hands and plus instincts for position. But if Eder does have to move to the bullpen, there might be another gear of velocity in the tank, which gives him the out of being a premium reliever with two plus-plus pitches. He doesnt have a huge frame, but his lack of room for mass arguably makes it more likely that he stays at short since hes unlikely to outgrow it. Unfortunately, he did neither. He has incredible defensive range, especially to his right, and his footwork around the bag is balletic. We can quibble over whether A-ball dynamics have changed due to the elimination of the short season leagues in a way that might invalidate historical precedents like this, but its reasonable to have some pause about Williams long-term prospectdom when you realize the closest 2022 comp for his contact data (66% contact%, 78% z-contact) was Paul DeJong. A downward cutting swing and middling rotational athleticism limit Carters offensive impact to the doubles variety, and even though hes young and has a huge, rectangular frame, Carters lack of explosiveness tempers long-term raw power projection here, and we consider him more of a high-floor prospect than a future star. He plays with flair and is dedicated to improving. His changeup is only fair right now, and his command still comes and goes, and even though he didnt walk nearly as many hitters in 2021 as he did in college, there was still relief risk here even before his elbow blew out. No doubt aided by the hitting environment of the Pacific Coast League, Busch swatted 32 home runs and 70 extra-base hits last season. Darling Fernandez, OF, D.R. His first step can be a little delayed, but Jones huge strides eat up tons of ground in the outfield, and he gallivants into the gaps, robs would-be doubles, and has a runner-sniping arm. Even while being a relatively free-swinger, hes only struck out at a 15-17% clip since entering full-season ball and has a rare hit/power combination for a catcher, though he has been a little bit older for each level. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every teams list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. Thats a 31% K% and 8% BB% across twice as many innings as the year before, when Miller was being built back up from the shortened 2020 season. He has some outfield experience but very little in pro ball, and he doesnt exactly look like a fish in water out there. Add to that performance his track record as a clubhouse favorite with natural leadership abilities and his multi-positional utility, and Lewis is primed for an everyday role as soon as his health allows. In contrast, his 2022 was a tough-luck grind, as Yorke hit just .232 at Greeneville and dealt with myriad injuries, including turf toe, back stiffness, and wrist soreness that reared its ugly, uh, wrist during the regular season and again when he went to Arizona to pick up reps in the Fall League. It seemed plausible he might eventually grow into meaningful power, too. As you would probably expect from a hitter with such a steep swing (this is about as steep as one can get without it becoming a problem), Pages swings and misses a fair bit, but not enough that it makes his prospecthood feel flimsy. He has an ideal pitchers frame, his gorgeous delivery generated mid-90s velocity with huge riding life at the top of the zone, his changeup is one of the better amateur changeups most scouts have ever seen, and before his elbow blew out during his draft spring, his curveball looked like it had gotten better. Ramos often pulls off pitches on the outer edge and swings inside ones hed ideally either contact or spoil. In a bodily sense, he was also unlike any amateur prospect most scouts had ever seen. window.FGWebsite_head_section.buildProspectsListTop100Controls(); Certain managers are willing to stockpile international talent with the hopes of striking gold on one of them. Already armed with plus-plus velocity after coming out of a Division-II school in Michigan, Brown has added a plus-plus curve and slider since turning pro. Hes likely to move off shortstop eventually, but it probably wont be for a while; the longer he stays there, the more margin for error the hit tool component, which were a tad apprehensive about, will have as he begins his big league career. And while the actual date has shifted from July 2 to January 15 in recent years, its significance remains the same. His hands load in a pretty typical spot that keeps him short back to the baseball, and he doesnt swing and miss a ton. -- $300,000, MarlinsJancory De La Cruz, OF, D.R. 2022 Top 250 MLB Prospects To win World Series Astros +600 Yankees +750 Mets +750 Dodgers +850 Braves +900 Padres +950 Blue Jays +1300 Phillies +1700 Cardinals +1800 Mariners +1800 Rays +2000. Berry has no position but raked in college, including after he left hitter-friendly Tucson and faced SEC arms. Eders delivery has changed since college. The Dodgers and Rangers each forfeited $1,000,000 from their pools for signing players who had rejected qualifying offers to lower their pool to $4,144,000. The international signing period usually runs from July 2 to June 15, but because of the COVID-19 pandemic, MLB and the MLBPA agreed to push back the start of the last two signing periods to Jan. 15. Acuas swing is explosive and athletic, starting upright with a load and leg kick similar to his brothers, before he takes a gargantuan stride toward the mound. A complete prospect and a total baseball rat, Lawlar had been a touted amateur as an underclassman and held serve as a near top-of-the-class talent for two or three years, even amid the volatility of the 2020 draft process. Millers upshot mid-90s fastball should, on its own, make him some kind of impact arm. Long, lanky and loaded with tools and projection, Alcantara is a loose, 6-foot-6 outfielder with massive potential. And while some of my sources think the league and the PA could come together on a draft format before the next CBA is ratified, there is doubt that it will happen soon enough for it to change the way the 2024 class signs. The 2023 season is his 40-man roster evaluation year. Castrovince writes that under the draft proposal, the top 600 players would receive $172.5MM in total bonuses, up from the $163.9MM for the top 600 bonuses given to players during the 2019-20 . Throw in the visual twitch and athleticism, and this is the player Spotifys algorithm would recommend to FanGraphs if prospects were musical artists. Lots of high-level decision makers ran to Indiana to see the high school version of Montgomery as part of a late spring jaunt through the Midwest, and he was one of the buzziest prospects just as the 2021 draft approached, with some pre-draft smoke near the top 10. Collier has stand-out raw strength and generates it across a very short mechanical distance, capable of driving thunderous contact to center and left/center with a flick of his wrists. The Phillies are expected to sign Bergolla. Ramos footwork around the bag needs polish, and his frame is big enough that his range might eventually be an issue there depending on how he fills out, but in limited action Ramos looks fine enough to justify continued development at the keystone. Its human nature to remember all of the big hits. Brown is the Mewtwo of pitchers, engineered as a facsimile of another powerful entity using science and technology. . Romos offensive performance is impressive considering he only turned 21 near the end of the 2022 season, though in another sense its troubling because hes such a physical guy and yet has such poor ball-striking power. BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - OCTOBER 05: Yusei Kikuchi #16 of the Toronto Blue Jays pitches against the Baltimore Orioles during game two of a doubleheader at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on October 05, 2022 in Baltimore . Hall didnt throw harder in a relief role he was still parked in the 95-97 mph range and in fact his velo keeled off a little bit right at the very end of the season. His performance in 2022 was a reminder of what makes him such an exciting prospect: over 34 games at Triple-A, he slashed .313/.405/.534 with nearly 12% walks and just over 20% strikeouts. Look under the hood and there is cause for concern. MLB.com adds the "upside and high baseball IQ combined to make him one of the most interesting prospects" available. Even if he plays nothing but first base from the jump, Walker will still produce enough power to be a consistent 3-WAR All-Star, and theres superlative thump here even at that position. Andy Acevedo, OF, D.R. He has no underlying swing-and-miss issues and his massive 6-foot-5 frame still has room for more strength. And for much of the season, that seemed to be the case: White started the year at High-A, doling out 81 strikeouts against just 19 walks in 58.2 innings of work before being promoted to Double-A Frisco at the end of June. A career .269/.374/.485 hitter in the minors, there are still some analysts who are skeptical Casas will make enough contact to profile comfortably as an above-average regular at first base. The good news is that Alcantara already has enough pop to do damage to the opposite field and hes probably going to grow into much more as his wispy frame continues to fill out. A decade ago, players with no professional experience were not considered viable draft picks, even in most deeper settings. The rip was more explosive than his shoulder could handle, and part of it tore away from the bone. His numbers backed up in 2022, but thats typical of pitchers who go to work in Reno. Manzardo hasnt hit a single speed bump in pro ball and moved into the Top 100 during the middle of 2022 on the strength of his statistical performance and visual feel to hit. Youll note that prospects are ranked by number but also lie within tiers demarcated by their Future Value grades. He struggles with softer stuff in the bottom of the strike zone, and his in-zone and overall contact rates in 2022 were 78% and 70% respectively, an area similar to Nolan Gorman, Franchy Cordero, Bobby Dalbec and others who have tantalizing power but have sometimes been frustrating big league hitters. Though he does his homer damage almost exclusively to his pull side, Berry slices breaking balls away from him to the opposite field, and most of his non-extra-base hits come that way. His amateur look was that of a slash-and-dash leadoff man with doubles power and a great idea of the strike zone. -- $500,000, RedsAlfredo Alcantara, SS, D.R. Graceffos velocity has exploded since he left the Main Line, and hes now nearing the big leagues as a contenders fourth starter. He projects to be a top-of-the-rotation pitcher as his fastball sits between 94-97 and has emerging secondary pitches, including a slider, changeup and curveball. Now that hes on the 40-man roster, proactive experimentation makes sense so that Ramos can move the moment he needs to. Nelson spent most of his college career in the bullpen showing huge stuff, fringe command, and repertoire depth that led to optimism surrounding his development as a starter. He was back in 2022 long enough to make his major league debut, but re-tore his ACL in late May and will be out until later this summer. His right-handed swing is pretty grooved, but still powerful, while his lefty swing is more skillful and dynamic, giving him a potent contact/power blend. He took a throw to the face during extended spring training, but was back for the start of the Complex League season and was one of that leagues most dominant hitters, slashing .326/.403/.492 with a 13% K% and 10% BB%, and earning a promotion to full-season ball, which also went swimmingly (.299/.359/.505). Hes only been able to pull breaking balls that dont quite finish. Plus athlete, "true shortstop". Knee and hamstring surgery effectively knocked him out for the 2020 season, then Lee hit .341/.384/.626 in 2021 and had a huge summer on Cape Cod, with six homers in just 21 games. Harrisons body has thickened pretty quickly, but he throws hard and has diverse fastball utility and great secondary stuff. This wasnt a gradual increase, either it happened all at once in 2019. Luis Meza, C, Venezuela Blue Jays ($2,050,000) More 34. No matter if you're a diehard to the format or relatively new, everyone loves prospects and wants to establish a rock-solid core on their dynasty team. His 40-man timeline presents the Cardinals with what would likely be a seamless transition from MVP candidate Paul Goldschmidt to Walker if they so choose, with Walker possibly DHing most days during Goldys contract year. Quants and front office analyst types are more bearish, citing issues with Priesters fastball playability. Soderstrom has widened and opened up his stance since the start of his professional career. -- $525,000Yoiber Ruiz, SS, Ven. His curveball has a 12-6 shape, and hes deployed the pitch to particularly devastating effect against left-handed opponents; between the two levels, only one lefty has recorded a hit on the curveball. He followed up his splashy 2021 with a 2022 tidal wave, reaching Double-A Chattanooga as a 20-year-old while tabulating over 70 extra-base hits and about 40 stolen bases. Alfredo Duno, C, Ven. Hes hit 57 home runs combined the last two years while running sub-30% groundball rates and average launch angles in the 22-25 degree range, both of which are extreme by big league standards. March 1, 2023. We could not draft Suzuki because he was not on a team. That will be a full decade before Green will be drafted in 2022, very likely with the #1 overall selection. Hes already noticeably thicker now than he was in high school, though thats probably part of where the power is coming from. -- $350,000, White SoxAbraham Nunez, OF, D.R. It can be tough to turn over a changeup from his arm slot, but that slot is also part of how Bibee creates depth on his curveball, which has become a show-me pitch that he lands in the zone at will. Defensively he spent most of his time at shortstop in 2022, and while he isnt technically polished there, he does have the twitch and arm to project there with more refinement. He was a coveted prospect as a prep player, but his strong commitment to Cal Poly, where his dad coaches, and some general concerns about his physical longevity due to a back issue pushed the industrys assessment of him down, so he went to school. There have been prior instances of prospects, including Mike Trout and Buster Posey, who had a terrible Fall League coming off a long year simply because they were tired and then rebounded the following season. Francisca has huge upside and was ranked as the 5th best overall international prospect for the 2022 international signing period by Fangraphs, 22nd by Baseball America and 28th by. His physicality perhaps gives him a better chance of withstanding that grind than most other prospects. Espino looked like a front-end arm early in 2022, then missed most of the season with knee and shoulder issues, the latter of which (dabs tear ducts) bled into 2023. His swing is a little odd and upright, and his hands load with a bit of a hitch, but he is still able to guide the barrel around the zone and produce shocking raw power for such a lithe teenage hitter. Unless hed throwing on the run, he just sort of lollipops the ball over to first. And while its not the ideal strategy, theres something to be said about coming out of your prospect draft with the best available talent, in hindsight. Keith was in the AFL because he missed all but about two months of the regular season with a shoulder injury. And lvarez wants to show you his power. The addition of a leg kick in 2021 increased his power output without disrupting his timing at the plate, and now Steer has a well-rounded hit/patience/power toolkit that would profile in a 50 FV capacity at any non-first base position. The 2021-22 international signing period opens on January 15, as for the second straight season, the usual July 2 opening date for the int'l was pushed back due to the pandemic. His huge strides enable him to cover a ton of ground in center field and he is a not only a viable defender out there right now, but he looks like a future plus glove. By the end of the year he was late on any sort of real velocity, struggling to get on top of fastballs up and away from him, and spraying most of his contact down the third base line, unable to turn on much of anything. : Mets+ ($1,900,000) More 28. Domnguez is massive for a 20-year-old, and even though hes a plus runner who is currently a fit in center field, its hard to say how hell trend athletically into his 20s because theres virtually no precedent for his build. There are about a dozen players who are expected to receive $1 million or more who didnt make the cut, either because I had insufficient scouting information to rank them or because I think they arent very good. Though his lower half looks a little stiff and he plays defense with a high center of gravity, hes capable of acrobatic defensive plays and at least has a shot to stay at shortstop long-term. : Nationals+ ($1,300,000) More 46. M.J. Melendezs 2019 and Bo Naylors 2020 are recent examples of otherwise good-hitting catchers who had a terrible offensive season in the mid-minors followed by an immediate and significant rebound the following year. Theres enough hit/power combination for Neto to be a first-division regular there. Described as the "total package" solid hit/solid power. Harrisons fastball sits 93-94 mph, topping out around 98, and it plays up thanks to its shape and the deceptively low lefty arm slot Harrison hurls it from. Its important to acknowledge the risk of his profile at this stage, but Mayer still projects as an extra-base machine at shortstop and an impact big leaguer. Ludwing Espinoza, SS, Ven. Barger has huge left-handed bat speed and a shot to stay on the dirt, just not at shortstop. He ran a 6.95 ERA in Triple-A throughout 2022 but the hitting environment in Reno isnt fair to pitchers, and Jamesons stuff, control, and athleticism are all on par with a good teams fourth starter. Over time, some managers become more emboldened (myself included) to chase the next big thing. Stone raced to the upper levels of the minors and generated one of the highest swinging strike rates among Double-A pitchers who threw at least 70 innings in 2022. He tends to bar his front arm and load his hands high, which made it impossible for him to turn on velocity on the showcase circuit when he was facing better, faster pitching than he did during varsity play. by Retrosheet. But the best parts of Libbys game are offset by the fact that they dont fit with the rest of his profile, which puts a mild damper on it. You can see the power and athleticism in Davis lower half throughout other aspects of his game, and its an indication that he has the ability to polish this stuff up and control the running game. He is expected to sign with the White Sox, who always pursue Cuban players aggressively. Hes naturally adept at framing low strikes because hes already so low to the ground, but its also fair to wonder if such a small athlete can withstand the grind of catching 80-100 games every summer. The ultra-advanced White has plus command of four good pitches. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work. This years 60 FV tier has some players who still show some hit tool red flags (Chourio, De La Cruz, Jones) that kept them from ever really being considered for the tier above. This is technically the 2021-22 signing period, and the players who sign Saturday would have signed last July 2 in a normal year. Add to that his plus-plus defense at an up-the-middle position, and hes on track for star-level everyday center field role. Allen was an undersized, pitchability high school lefty who worked 88-92 mph with mostly average secondary stuff and a changeup that flashed plus. No more. The international signing period, which runs through Dec. 15, is officially underway. He was the fifth ranked prospect on our 2022 Draft Board but was picked 13th, enough to merit some reconsideration as to whether Neto belongs in the 50 FV already. He may just be a DH, which would obviously make it tougher for him to profile, but there may be elite on-base ability here and that plus the power might be enough for Julien to make an impact that way, too. He spent the bulk of the 2022 season at High-A, where he slugged .513 with 20 home runs and 19 doubles, earning him an early-August bump up to Double-A, where his slugging remained roughly the same while he brought his strikeout rate down a couple ticks. Hes a little more tightly wound than is typical for a big league shortstop, but Hendersons straight-line speed is plus and so is his defensive range, and his arm strength enables him to make some plays that many other infielders cant. 1 pitcher available this signing period. Hitters in general seemed unphased by Jobes fastball/breaking ball combo and were comfortable parsing them from one another, even in A-ball. He was suddenly a young-for-the-class college bat who might have gone very high in the draft if hed hit like he had the year before and gotten better at second base. Merrill is Michael Brantley, except at shortstop. by Handedness, Updating the 2023 Draft Prospect Rankings, Cardinals Scouting Director Randy Flores on Drafting the Team's Top Prospects, Updating the International Player Rankings, The New LSU, Part 2: Paul Skenes Is on a New Heading, Diamondbacks Farm Director Josh Barfield Talks Development and Comps, Brewers Prospect Sal Frelick on Being a Pure Hitter, Fantasy Update: 2023 Re-Draft Top 25/Dynasty Top 120, Picks to Click: Who We Expect to Make the 2024 Top 100, Lets Identify Some Hitter Sleeper Candidates. Still, there are all kinds of hit tool red flags here, both in the data and in Williams visual scouting report. Diego Benitez, SS, Venezuela Braves ($2,500,000) More 11. The extreme shift in his strikeout and walk rates from 2021 to 2022 has as much to do with the change in Chourios style of swinging as it does the quality of opposing pitchers stuff. Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association finalized a deal in March 2020 that addressed the international signing period during the pandemic. Lawlar is a slick shortstop defender with big power and a somewhat shaky hit tool. There will probably be a consistent hole against fastballs up and away for Domnguez. He has tended to strikeout at a 20% or lower clip throughout his pro career, even when chase was an issue, which is very impressive considering Ramos age relative to the levels to which hes been assigned. But assuming that third base is now his likeliest position, more pressure will be put on Martes bat, and while theres good news in that regard, there also needs to be refinement if Marte is going to hit enough to play an everyday role at third base. The batting average component was down a little due to his .241 BABIP at Columbus, but otherwise 2022 was another standard Rocchio season with the stick. Pages swing is as geared for lift as any hitter in the minors, and he should get to enough power to profile in a corner. -- $407,500Felix Amparo, INF, D.R. Keith was on the SS/3B line as a high school defender, but his extra heft has pushed him down the defensive spectrum. Amador is a well-rounded middle infield prospect with a smaller, almost maxed-out frame that compares to Jimmy Rollins or Domingo Leyba. He has a cartoonish leg kick and his hands load similarly to Javier Bezs, and while Neto doesnt have quite the same all-world whip as Bez, he is a plus rotational athlete who hits some epic pull-side homers. Parada has impeccable hitters timing, and batting stance aside, his swing is rhythmic and balanced. Walker worked out as a pitcher, shortstop, and third baseman in high school, then had a rough draft spring amid some weight gain, which is part of why he fell deep into the first round. Alexis Hernandez, SS, Dominican Republic Cubs ($1,300,000) More 19. Cartaya had a whopping 41% hard-hit rate in 2022, which is already better than that of the average big league starting catcher (hes 21! Whats causing the swing-and-miss? He must turn 16 before he signs and be 17 before Sept. 1 the following year -- in practical terms, that means players born between Sept. 1, 2004, and Aug. 31, 2005, will be eligible to sign in the upcoming signing period. He worked in the 89-93 mph range as a high schooler, then exploded in college, hitting 100 mph as a freshman and sustaining upper-90s velocity when he finally moved to the rotation as a fourth-year junior in 2021. It is the open of the 2022 international signing period, one of two ways MLB teams can acquire amateur talent each year. After a little bit of a slow start, Domnguez not only made relevant adjustments there but improved upon promotion to High-A, where he slashed .306/.397/.510 and struck out just 19% of the time. That was not the case on defense, however. Gian Zapata, OF, D.R. Vargas doesnt have the sort of projectable, statuesque frame typical of a hitter in his early 20s, and despite the relevant changes to his swing, he still isnt an especially electric athlete and the cement appears quite dry on his physique, so theres not much reason to project on his raw power going forward. Only recently converted to center field full-time, Chourio easily has enough speed to stay there (hes routinely 4.15 home to first), and his routes and ball skills are okay. The consensus No. Another candidate to Chourio, Ramirez is among the highest-variance prospects in the minors. Significantly increasing Soto's long-term . This is not to denigrate Vargas skill as a hitter, as he has incredible hand-eye coordination, terrific breaking ball recognition, and a great idea of the strike zone, the complement of skills that drive his profile. Michael Arroyo, SS, Colombia Mariners ($1,375,000) More 42. Doug Fister is a fair baseball body comp. Here is a snippet of MLB.com's free scouting report: There's a lot to like about the teenager. As is customary for pitching prospects near the tippity top of prospect lists, Rodriguez got hurt in 2022, suffering a Grade 2 lat strain in early June. The son of two-time Pro Bowl tight end Eric Green, Elijah became Draft Famous during his junior year, homering a couple of times in high school tournaments held in big league parks and looking much toolsier than all but a couple of the prospects who were a year older than him. Hitters seem to take more comfortable swings against his breaking stuff later in outings, so perhaps theres something about Painters fastball angle that makes it easier to see his breaking balls pop out of hand once theyve had a look at them. If not, hes a Phillippe Aumont sequel. But from June on, he was markedly more effective, boosting that K-rate to just shy of 30%, while bringing his walk rate down. Daiverson Gutierrez, C, D.R. Rankings and reports for the current class of amateur players set to sign in January 2022 (though that date could be delayed due to the lockout) have been expanded on The Board with help from. Below is a look at which players from MLB.coms Top 50 International Prospects list have agreed to terms with clubs, and for how much. This is the third year were delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which youll see in the position column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. Initially considered a contact-first prospect, the effort level in Chourios swing ratcheted up in 2022 and he now takes a monster hack, whipping the bat through the zone with all his might, often needing the dirt of the batters box behind him to stop his rotation.
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