With a 16th-place finish at TPC Twin Cities and a 13th-place finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, its clear that he does his best work on water-logged courses that place an emphasis on keeping the ball in play off the tee and middle-iron play, and I expect him to be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon at PGA National. After a pair of marquee, or should we say, elevated weeks on the PGA Tour, things have gotten decidedly bleak as we kick off the Florida Swing. Chris Kirk: Kirk missed the cut at Phoenix in somewhat surprising fashion, but I expect a bounceback. In order to score well at Waialae Country Club, players will need to be accurate off the tee and few do it better than Im. All three courses are incredibly short and limit the advantage of driving distance. Who should you back with your Fantasy golf picks? All winners this millennium had previously made a cut at Pebble Beach in their career before winning, and most had a top 10 finish on their resume. It . Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) are among the other notable contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. Thats some great early-season value on a top-tier all-around golfer whose performance is grounded in elite data. From Gdula: This might be a name unfamiliar to some casual fans. Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. Our betting panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from PGA National; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; Gdula and your two authorstends to run hot once one of us hits an outright. This is The Loop, a refreshing mix of everything you love to talk about around golf, with the only rule that you don't take yourself or the game too seriously. Normally, great drivers have a glaring weakness somewhere tee to green that limits their upside, but Scheffler has been above average greenside (68th SG/around the green) and remained 81st in SG/approach despite an underwhelming swing season. The Sony Open in Hawaii Lack: Adam Long (+1100, DraftKings) Ill take a chance this week and fire away on a long shot to pay off nicely for me in the top-10 market. Lack: Lee Hodges (50-1, DraftKings) Lee Hodges came through for me last week in a big way on DraftKings and the top-20 market, and I see no reason to hop off now that we are traveling to a course that he finished ninth at last year, gaining strokes in all four major categories. The cold putter is nothing new, but he has experienced a modicum of success on the PGA National greens in his career. Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. Hes stumbled from tee-to-green recently, losing strokes to the field in four of his last seven measured events. Matchup Results from the Genesis Invitational: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-130) over Im); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-110) over Burns); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Cantlay (-111) over Morikawa); Gehman: PUSH (Hovland (-120) over Young); Mayo: 0 for 1; Powers: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-5-0 (up 5.1 units); Gehman: 9-5-2 (up 3.01 units); Lack: 4-3-0 (up 0.7 units); Powers: 8-8-0 (down 0.37 units); Mayo: 7-8-0 (down 1.56 units); Caddie: 7-9-0 (down 2.46 units); Gdula: 5-10-1 (down 5.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Honda Classic. Mayo: Aaron Rai (60-1, DraftKings) Many have noted that PGA National has a track record of crossover with Open Championship and links success. In the measured events on the circuit, hes been stout from tee-to-green and hasnt lost strokes putting since last summer. The Rocket Mortgage Classic Fantasy Golf Picks 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers, Full schedule, bracket for 2023 WAC Conference Tournament, Full tee times for Round 3 of Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for March 4, 2023 NFL Combine: Tracking Zay Flowers measurements, drill times, more, Donovan Mitchell, Trae Young, Khris Middleton headline NBA injury report for Saturday, March 4, John Battaglia Memorial Stakes 2023: Post time, live stream, TV channel, horses, odds for Kentucky Derby prep race, Highlight: Hoge was the Round 1 leader after shooting 63, Highlight: Berger moved the wrong way on moving day with a 72, but was seven shots better on Sunday, The Top-11 finishers all gained Driving Distance on the field, The Top-13 finishers all gained with the putter, Highlight: Taylor was the Round 1 leader (by three strokes) after shooting a 63, The Top-10 finishers all gained with the putter (Taylor was the second best putter for the week), Highlight: Mickelson bookended the tournament with 65s and led the field in approach, The top-9 finishers all gained in Good Drives (only four gained in distance), Highlight: Potter fired a 62 on Saturday (best round of the weekend, no one else had a round better than 64), Highlight: Spieth was inside the Top 5 in Good Drives and GIRs for the week, 3 of the Top 9 finishers gained over 50 strokes of distance BUT lost fairways to the field, Highlight: Progressively got better 70-68-67-65, Taylor won despite losing almost a stroke with the putter (the other Top 15 finishers all gained with the flat stick Taylor picked up 10.2 strokes T2G, 2.8 better than anyone else), 6 players scored 105+ DK points Hoge was the only mid-tier option (3 were $7,500 or less and the other 3 were over $9,000 including the two highest priced players), 3 of the Top 4 scorers cost at least $9,700, 4 of the 5 highest priced golfers finished outside the Top 15 in DK scoring, More stars and scrubs each of the Top 6 scorers was priced under $7,500 or over $9,000, Here are the DK price rankings of the Top 3 scorers for the week. Watson lost strokes putting in 11 of his final 14 events. Hell likely do well at Bay Hill, at the Players and at Harbour Town, but all of those will have stacked fields as elevated events and Im not so sure Kirk can beat a field like that. In fact, the 24-year-old enters this week's event ranked inside the top-25 in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.079), strokes gained: off-the-tee (.824) and driving accuracy percentage (66.96%). All Rights Reserved. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. From Gehman: Redman has all the makings of a breakout candidate. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. In my opinion, Wise is a top-five player in this field, behind only Sungjae Im, Shane Lowry and Billy Horschel, and we are catching him at a more than fair price due to his slow start to the season. Combine that with Sean O'Hair and Fritelli being extremely inconsistent, this is my whale play of the week. The latest 2023 American Express odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Rahm as the 13-2 favorite, and he is the highest-priced golfer at DraftKings at $10,800. Course history has been strong at Pebble Beach. Gehman: Min Woo Lee (-110) over Matt Kuchar (Bet365) Golf is a global game and Min Woo Lee is crushing it right now. We've entered golf's '+1' era, Pat McAfee dished some juicy details about his recent golf trip with the Mannings to (maybe???) The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. Each week hosts Christopher Powers, Alex Myers, and Steve Hennessey, along with special guests from across the sports and entertainment worlds, will touch on what's going in the game . This allows him to find the best PGA DFS values and create optimal lineups that he shares only over at SportsLine. For the 2022 BMW Championship, Gates is touting a massive sleeper for fantasy rosters who is priced at less than $7,000 at DraftKings . Poston is coming off a respectable showing at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, securing a T-21 finish in Hawaii. Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR . Ballengee can be reached by email at ryan[at]thegolfnewsnet.com. Mayo: Eric Cole (+900, DraftKings) A veteran of the Florida Minor League Golf system, Coles gained on approach in six of his last seven starts, and now returns to familiar Bermudagrass on the greens. 2022: Tom Hoge (-19, 2 clear of Jordan Spieth), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18, 2 clear of Mav McNealy), 2020: Nick Taylor (-19, four shots clear of Kevin Streelman), 2019: Phil Mickelson (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey), 2018: Ted Potter (-17, 3 clear of Day/Mickelson/Reavie/DJ), 2017: Jordan Spieth (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft), 2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson), Mayos Key Stats powered by FantasyNational.com. Yes, he did gain an unsustainable amount of strokes with the putter, but he did make noticeable progress off-the-tee and on approach from WMPO to the Genesis. He was as good as Bryson, Rahm and Rory with the driver and experienced one of his best iron runs of his career. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. And which undervalued golfer is a must-roster? Theres analysis you wont find anywhere else. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. It looked like the rest was needed based on the downtrend. American Express: Cameron Young. This golfer is on a roll lately, finishing in the top 15 in three straight tournaments. Im is the best player in the field and its not particularly close. The Honda Classic, once an event that tracked tons of top pros including Tiger Woods, has its weakest field in recent memory, with not a single player inside the top 17 in the world rankings teeing it up at PGA National this week. While never great with the flat stick, that was his worse run since 2009. Five of the top seven golfers in the Official World Golf Ranking are scheduled to compete, led by world No. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. But since hes struggled in his return from injury were getting a nice discount on the Ryder Cupper off a 12th-place finish at Riviera. It feels like Lee has been on the verge of a breakout for a while and this week could be the opportunity for him. Three-Putt Avoidance Birdies or Better Gained Without further ado, let's dig into my outright picks for the Scottish Open. Holliman says he has learned from his mistakes and is fully behind Rahm this week at Riviera. Who wins the 2023 Genesis Invitational? Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | The 28-year-old is one of the best on the planet, but he was 143rd in strokes gained around the green last season, and his putter can be streaky. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. 2022 3M Open Fantasy golf expert picks Im has been in a rut for a few weeks, but Gates isn't hesitating to back the South Korean this week. He is coming off a top-10 last week at Riv, which plays very similarly to here with the ball-strikers finishing on top. He tied for second at the Shriners earlier this season and shot 12 under on the weekend to surge to T-16 at the Sentry his last time out. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. He makes cuts, in spades. While he had been struggling to find form earlier in the year, the 27-year-old has proven his ball-striking upside by gaining 2.1 strokes on approach in a world-class field last week at Riviera. This golfer "finally showed some spark" last week in Scottsdale and appears to be trending upward. Not only did he top 10 here a year ago, this years field has lost some of its star power compared to recent years, so look for Lee to be in the mix on Sunday. In-Tournament PGA Model - Round 2 Picks for The Honda Classic (Premium Content) Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content . Eligibility restrictions apply. On the other hand, Xander Schauffele has weaknesses that could prove costly at Riviera, so the expert is fading him. The 2023 The Honda Classic is here, and we're back with our PGA Tour expert picks and betting tips for the PGA Tour event at PGA Natonal's Champion Course in Palm Beach Gardens, Fla. Every week, we share our PGA Tour player rankings, and they are agnostic of competition. Cole ranks top five in the field in scrambling and sand saves for the year and has done his best work over his short PGA career on shorter courses. By Pat Mayo May 1, 2022, 3:41pm PDT He's been hanging around 30th place in his last four starts. His last eight starts on the DP World Tour have all yielded top-13 finishes with five top-fours during that run. He's been able to consistently find himself in the mix thanks to his impeccable accuracy. Ball-strikers who can putt at even a field-average baseline can have value week in and week out. But his play on and around the greens is bound to regress to his typical level. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Poston has now finished inside the top-25 in eight of his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour. The ball-striking has been really good lately, and he can scramble and putt as well as anyone here, which can be clutch given how difficult of a test this can be. From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. Last season, he nailed the Tour Championship, saying Rory McIlroy was the only player capable of making up a six-stroke deficit to get past Scheffler. The putter is roughly average, but thats a lot different than terrible. Its tough trusting Merritt on a weekly basis since he tends to lose one facet of his game every start. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Golf Betting and Fantasy Picks: 10 players who will make you money in 2021, make informed decisions regarding betting on golf tournaments and daily fantasy golf competitions. He was in the top 10 in every one.
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